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This report is a summary of third-party economic research and perspectives to foster communication with business and economic development stakeholders.
Key Economic Insights
- Global: The World Bank projects global GDP growth to slow to 4.1% in 2022 and 3.2% in 2023.
- U.S.: Consumer prices rose 7% in 2021, the fastest increase since 1982.
- Ohio: Three Ohio-headquartered companies rank among the top 100 nationally for ESG efforts.
Global Insights
The World Bank forecasts global GDP growth to slow to 4.1% in 2022, down from 5.5% in 2021, citing the effects of the Omicron variant, supply-chain disruptions, labor shortages and the winding down of government economic support. The World Bank projects growth to slow to 3.2% in 2023. Goldman Sachs forecasts the 19-member euro region to grow at a pace of 4.4% in 2022, compared to a rate of 3.5% for the U.S. Looking forward to 2023, Goldman Sachs forecasts the Euro Zone growing by 2.5% and the U.S. by 2.2%. 60% of the global population has received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.
U.S. Insights
Weekly jobless claims for the week ended January 8 rose to 230,000, up from 207,000 during the prior week. Continuing claims fell to 1.559M from a revised 1.753M during prior week. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index preliminary reading declined to 68.8 in January, down 2.5% from the final reading of 70.6 in December. The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 98.4 in December, up slightly from 98.4 in November. Nearly 75% of the U.S. population has received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine, and nearly 62.5% is fully vaccinated.
The Consumer Price Index rose at a 7.0% annual rate in December, the largest annual increase since 1982. Core CPI rose 5.5% in December from 2020, the fastest rate since 1991. The Producer Price Index increased 0.2% in December. On an annual basis, prices moved up 9.7% in 2021, the largest annual increase since 2010. Minus foods, energy, and trade services, prices rose 0.4% in December to a 6.9% annual rate.
U.S. retail sales declined 1.9% in December. Excluding gasoline and motor vehicles, sales declined 2.5% in December. U.S. import prices declined 0.2% in December. On an annual basis, import prices rose 10.4% in 2021, the largest annual increase since 2007. Export prices declined 1.8% in December, the largest drop in prices since April 2020. On an annual basis, export prices rose 14.7% in 2021, the largest annual increase since 1984. U.S. industrial production fell 0.1% in December, marking the first monthly decline since September 2021. Capacity utilization declined to 76.5% in December, down slightly from a downwardly revised 76.6% in November.
Ohio Employment & Economic Insights
In 2021, Ohio companies secured a record $2.37B in venture capital funding across 180+ deals, representing a 103% increase from 2020 venture capital funding. Ohio manufacturing’s economic output surpassed its previous highwater mark. According to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Ohio’s seasonally adjusted annual manufacturing GDP yielded more than $118.3B in Q3 2021 – up from $116.9B in Q2 of last year and $112.4B in Q4 2019, before the start of the pandemic.
Ohio-based Owens Corning (#23), American Electric Power (#31), and Procter & Gamble (#59) ranked among the top 100 companies in JUST Capital’s annual analysis of corporate performance on ESG efforts. Combined, these companies employ over 18,000 Ohioans. Other companies with large employment presence (10,000+ employees) in the state that ranked among the top 100 include JPMorgan Chase (#28), and Lowe’s (#70).
Reshoring, workforce, and entrepreneurship were highlighted as focused opportunity areas for the state of Ohio at The Dayton Business Journal’s 2022 Economic Forum. The state has stood up several programs, including Ohio IP Promise, to improve the entrepreneurial movement in Ohio by making it easier for people to commercialize intellectual property from college campuses.
6 Ohio cities ranked in the top 50 U.S cities with the most green space per capita. Ohio cities that made the top 50 include Cincinnati (3), Columbus (11), Dayton (32), Cleveland (33), Akron (35), and Toledo (47).
The state of Ohio awarded a $3M grant to the Ohio State University to help develop curriculum focused on broadband education/training that will prepare students for careers in the broadband and 5G industry. In the last year, Ohio has received and pledged nearly $1.5B in state and federal dollars to expand internet access. Over 7.1M Ohioans have started the COVID-19 vaccination process and over 6.5M have completed it.
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Resources
- Ohio Department of Health’s COVID-19 Website: www.coronavirus.ohio.gov
- JobsOhio’s resource portal and information about Open, Secure Supply Chains in Ohio.